Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 435.561936 494.737665 560.276440 638.465486 729.491766 832.456160 958.217975
2026-01-18 338.713555 414.214960 505.282620 624.079155 776.215203 966.204762 1224.079304
2026-01-25 284.974051 365.709281 468.724945 611.430843 806.548126 1067.722947 1450.134818
2026-02-01 257.521665 343.909079 459.420508 627.770137 871.240588 1217.463539 1759.725555
2026-02-08 231.009267 318.777081 440.770985 626.295554 907.699605 1329.258390 2029.615403
2026-02-15 208.346874 295.732988 421.341197 619.608830 933.295090 1425.660772 2288.709944
2026-02-22 192.564886 280.523825 410.940708 624.081800 974.984414 1550.836854 2613.961871
2026-03-01 175.729749 261.803178 392.905046 613.780461 990.410650 1633.515994 2877.764125
2026-03-08 162.494694 247.203035 379.519271 608.932736 1013.420033 1730.962052 3183.991745
2026-03-15 147.164191 227.846813 356.579700 585.282838 1000.207403 1760.894454 3363.775777
2026-03-22 141.884456 224.167350 358.720964 604.648582 1066.053822 1945.600988 3889.403568
2026-03-29 137.957503 222.292654 363.546966 629.020608 1143.929742 2164.495344 4531.413550
2026-04-05 130.383370 213.779524 356.467696 631.410600 1180.911761 2309.382899 5045.464178
2026-04-12 120.963525 201.340443 341.423800 617.282039 1183.309514 2382.803444 5409.019156
2026-04-19 112.747924 190.359597 328.016128 604.787550 1187.238661 2459.670883 5797.265330
2026-04-26 109.219654 187.472034 329.121374 620.922408 1253.556065 2686.414469 6624.347199
2026-05-03 103.698923 180.502327 321.956136 619.466316 1281.211541 2827.683454 7255.493629
2026-05-10 98.026361 172.825201 312.791929 612.863436 1296.354627 2941.084925 7835.840754
2026-05-17 94.099901 168.146059 309.040071 617.280336 1337.364475 3125.404217 8674.306741
2026-05-24 88.873490 160.607146 299.034204 607.108038 1342.450000 3218.121594 9253.756095
2026-05-31 84.617294 154.668196 291.788574 602.320926 1360.027386 3347.016035 9986.404231
2026-06-07 78.816365 145.320711 276.922747 578.965681 1328.553724 3336.870038 10248.016457
2026-06-14 77.522220 144.872699 280.423446 598.090278 1407.719416 3651.736009 11745.680425